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- Posted July 16, 2010
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Business - Industrial production edges up 0.1 percent
By Daniel Wagner
AP Business Writer
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Industrial production edged up 0.1 percent, but manufacturing activity dropped amid fears that the economic recovery is stalling.
The Federal Reserve says output at the nation's mines and utilities rose in June, offsetting the loss of factory output. It was the fourth straight monthly increase for overall production.
Output has not showed a single monthly decline in the past year. February's result was revised upward in Thursday's report. The Fed now says production was flat that month despite winter storms that shuttered some factories.
Utility output rose in June as hot weather spurred demand for electricity. Mines produced more coal and natural gas.
"The gain was all due to a weather-related ... jump in utilities output," said Paul Ashworth, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics. "It was unseasonably warm across much of the Northeast last month, forcing people to crank up the air conditioning."
Yet weak manufacturing could mean a slower rebound. Manufacturing is the biggest component of production. Factories helped lead the economy out of the recession.
Economists expected the recovery to slow this quarter. But some fear the recovery will falter if unemployment remains near 10 percent.
High unemployment has stifled consumer spending. That could lead to another period of contraction if investors and businesses pull back as well.
The economy started growing again last summer, but factories are still operating at well below peak capacity. Factories were operating at 74.1 percent of their maximum output in June, the Fed said. The number was unchanged from the previous month.
Wholesale prices fell for a third consecutive month as another drop in energy costs and the biggest plunge in food costs in eight years banished inflation in June.
Wholesale prices dropped 0.5 percent last month, following declines of 0.1 percent in April and 0.3 percent in May, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, posted a modest 0.1 percent increase.
The third month of declines in Labor's Producer Price Index raised new concerns about the possibility of deflation, a prolonged period of falling prices which has not been seen in the United States since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
While most economists believe outright deflation remains a distant threat, they said it can't be totally ruled out.
Published: Fri, Jul 16, 2010
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